33
● If based on the ratios of both population to psychiatrist and population to
core mental health provider, geographic designations must have a population
to psychiatrist ratio of 20,000 to 1 and a population to core mental health
provider ratio of 6,000 to 1. In areas with high needs, geographic
designations or population designations must have a population to
psychiatrist ratio of 15,000 to 1 and a population to core mental health
provider ratio of 4,500 to 1.
Most HPSA’s for mental health are designated based on the ratio of population to
psychiatrist. Estimates show that an additional 7,420 mental health providers would
be needed to remove the existing health professional shortage area designations
for mental health in the U.S.
Demand for mental health services is projected to increase nationwide due to the
aging population.
107
The number of older adults with mental and behavioral health
problems is projected to increase by 11 million from 1970 to 2030. Moreover, the
aging of the national population requires behavioral health service providers with
special knowledge and skills.
108
HRSA issued national-level supply and demand projections for several behavioral
health occupations from 2016 to 2030 that incorporate estimates of unmet need for
behavioral health services. These projections are based on the unlikely assumption
that there are no changes in the levels of behavioral health care service provision or
utilization from 2017 to 2030. Based on these projections, there will be an
estimated shortage of 34,940 addiction counselors,
109
21,150 adult psychiatrists,
14,300 clinical, counseling, and school psychologists, and 40,140 mental health
counselors nationwide in 2030. These projections also indicate that there will be an
estimated surplus of 3,720 child and adolescent psychiatrists, 1,650 marriage and
family therapists, 2,440 psychiatric nurse practitioners, 1,500 school counselors,
and 200,280 social workers nationwide in 2030.
Workforce-based explanations for an inadequate supply of mental health and
addiction providers at-large generally focus on insufficient numbers of providers,
high turnover, low compensation, a lack of diversity, and limited competency in
evidence-based treatments.
108
Describing the mental health workforce shortage
quantitatively can be problematic, as relevant data have not been universally
collected and there is no agreed-upon definition of adequate supply.
110
However,
efforts to describe the mental health workforce shortage should consider both the
population’s need for mental health services and the number of providers available
to deliver these services.